2024 United States presidential election in Georgia
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The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] Georgia is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.[2]
Despite being located in the conservative Bible Belt and Deep South regions, Georgia has become competitive since the start of the 2020s and is considered a purple to slightly red state in the election, after having been a moderately red state in the late 2000s going through the 2010s. The last Republican presidential candidate to win Georgia by double digits, and the only one to win the state more than once, was fellow Southerner George W. Bush. This leftward shift is mainly attributed to the rapid population growth that the progressive and diverse Atlanta metro, which holds much of the state's population, has experienced in the 21st century, including an influx of African Americans, Asian Americans, Latinos and progressive Whites. In 2020, Joe Biden very narrowly carried the state by 0.23%, making Georgia the closest state that election and making Biden the first Democrat since Southerner Bill Clinton in 1992 to win the state's electoral votes, and the first non-Southern Democrat to do so since John F. Kennedy in 1960.
Incumbent Democratic President Joe Biden initially ran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee.[3] However, following what was widely viewed as a poor performance in the June 2024 presidential debate and amid increasing age and health concerns from within his party, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, who launched her presidential campaign the same day.[4] Biden's withdrawal from the race makes him the first eligible president not to stand for re-election since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968.
Former President and Republican nominee Donald Trump is running for re-election to a second non-consecutive term after losing in 2020.[5] Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gathered the required signatures to qualify for the ballot, as he announced in late February.[6]
If Harris wins Georgia, it will be the first time since 1980, when favorite son Jimmy Carter was on the ballot, that the state has voted Democratic in two consecutive presidential elections. This race is considered to be a tossup due to Georgia's nearly even political lean at the federal level (despite a slight GOP lean at the state level). However, Harris has narrowed or eliminated Trump's lead since becoming the Democrats' presumptive nominee, with most polls within the margin of error.
Primary elections
[edit]Democratic primary
[edit]The Georgia Democratic primary was held on March 12, 2024.[7]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 272,363 | 93.1% | 108 | ||
| Marianne Williamson | 8,569 | 2.9% | |||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 5,205 | 1.8% | |||
| Blank ballots | 6,429 | 2.2% | |||
| Overvotes | 2 | <0.1% | |||
| Total: | 292,568 | 100.00% | 108 | 16 | 124 |
Republican primary
[edit]The Georgia Republican primary was held on March 12, 2024.[9]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 497,594 | 84.49% | 59 | 0 | 59 |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 77,902 | 13.23% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 7,457 | 1.27% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 2,054 | 0.35% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tim Scott (withdrawn) | 1,398 | 0.24% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,244 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 383 | 0.07% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 377 | 0.06% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| David Stuckenberg | 243 | 0.04% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Doug Burgum (withdrawn) | 161 | 0.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Perry Johnson (withdrawn) | 134 | 0.02% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 588,947 | 100.00% | 59 | 0 | 59 |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Tossup | August 20, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Tossup | August 26, 2024 |
| CNN[14] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
| The Economist[15] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
| 538[16] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
| CNalysis[17] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[18] | Tossup | August 29, 2024 |
| RCP[19] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
Voting rule changes
[edit]On July 29, 2024 the state added another way to cancel a voter's registration through an online portal, which has drawn criticism from groups like Fair Fight Action worried that it would be abused.[20] By August 5, cybersecurity researcher Jason Parker discovered a vulnerability in Georgia’s voter cancellation portal that allowed users to bypass the requirement for a driver’s license number, enabling the submission of voter registration cancellations with minimal, publicly available information. The discovery drew attention to weaknesses in the system and the importance of continued efforts to secure election infrastructure.[21][22]
In August 2024, the Georgia State Elections Board enacted two new rules that could deputize local election officials more discretion on whether they certify the election, contrary to state and national precedent. The Democratic party has filed a lawsuit to stop the new rules from taking effect.[23][24]
According to a September 2024 New York Times newsletter, Georgia seems the most likely state to overturn election results on unfounded claims of fraud in 2024 due to recent changes in who oversees elections.[25]
Ballot access
[edit]After an administrative law judge disqualified Claudia De la Cruz and Cornel West from the ballot due to their electors not registering in their own name, Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger overruled the judge on August 29, 2024. Republicans have been working to get West and De la Cruz on the ballot, while Democrats have been working to keep them off.[26] If the ruling is upheld, it would be the first time since 1946 with more than 4 candidates on the ballot.[26] On September 12, 2024 a judge disqualified both West and De la Cruz from running for president in Georgia and the candidates plan to appeal to the Georgia Supreme Court.[27]
Polling
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [a] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | August 9 – September 20, 2024 | September 20, 2024 | 46.3% | 48.0% | 5.7% | Trump +1.7% |
| 270ToWin | September 4 – 20, 2024 | September 20, 2024 | 46.4% | 48.0% | 5.6% | Trump +1.6% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 20, 2024 | September 20, 2024 | 47.5% | 48.0% | 4.5% | Trump +0.5% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 20, 2024 | September 20, 2024 | 47.8% | 47.9% | 4.3% | Trump +0.1% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 20, 2024 | September 20, 2024 | 47.4% | 48.3% | 4.3% | Trump +0.9% |
| 538 | through September 20, 2024 | September 20, 2024 | 47.0% | 48.0% | 5.0% | Trump +1.0% |
| Average | 47.05% | 48.1% | 4.85% | Trump +1.05% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[28] | September 15–18, 2024 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 50% | 3%[c] |
| 48%[d] | 50% | 2%[c] | ||||
| TIPP Insights[29][A] | September 16–18, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| 835 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 9% | |||
| Morning Consult[30] | September 9−18, 2024 | 1,347 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[31] | September 11–13, 2024 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| ActiVote[32] | August 8 – September 10, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Quinnipiac University[33] | September 4–8, 2024 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[30] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,405 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[34] | September 5–6, 2024 | 647 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9%[e] |
| 567 (LV) | 45% | 47% | 8%[f] | |||
| Patriot Polling[35] | September 1–3, 2024 | 814 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[36] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4%[f] |
| Emerson College[37] | August 25–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 48% | 3%[g] |
| 50%[d] | 49% | 1%[g] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[38] | August 23–26, 2024 | 737 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% | ||
| Fox News[39] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[40][B] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Focaldata[41] | August 6–16, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | – |
| New York Times/Siena College[42] | August 9–14, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
| 661 (LV) | 46% | 50% | 4% | |||
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[43] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[44][C] | July 24–31, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R)[45] | July 29–30, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[46][D] | July 29–30, 2024 | 662 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[47] | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 5% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[48][E] | July 25–26, 2024 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Emerson College[49] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||||
| Landmark Communications[50] | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[51][F] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[52][h] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[53] | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| 549 (LV) | 43% | 49% | 8% | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[54] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Emerson College[55] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
| New York Times/Siena College[56] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 629 (LV) | 44% | 47% | 9% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [i] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH[57] | through September 18, 2024 | September 20, 2024 | 46.5% | 47.5% | 0.6% | — | 0.7% | 4.7% | Trump +1.0% |
| RealClearPolitics[58] | August 9 – September 8, 2024 | September 8, 2024 | 46.4% | 47.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | Trump +0.6% |
| 270ToWin[59] | September 4 – September 18, 2024 | September 18, 2024 | 45.8% | 47.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 4.9% | Trump +2.0% |
| Average | 46.2% | 47.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 4.1% | Trump +1.2% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIPP Insights[29][A] | September 16–18, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 44% | 2% | 1% | – | 7% |
| 835 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% | |||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[60][F] | September 9–15, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 7%[j] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[61] | September 6–9, 2024 | 562 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[33] | September 4–8, 2024 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6%[k] |
| YouGov[62][G] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 47% | 0% | 0% | – | 8%[l] |
| CNN/SSRS[63] | August 23–29, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[64] | August 25–28, 2024 | 699 (LV) | – | 42% | 44% | – | 1% | 0% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[38] | August 23–26, 2024 | 737 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 46% | – | 1% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Fox News[39] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||||||
| Spry Strategies (R)[40][B] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 2% | – | 1% | – | 2% |
| Focaldata[41] | August 6–16, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 49% | 2% | – | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 651 (RV) | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 4% | |||
| 651 (A) | 46% | 47% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 4% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[65] | August 12–15, 2024 | 692 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | 2% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[42] | August 9–14, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 47% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| 661 (LV) | 44% | 47% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | |||
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[43] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[66] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 1,128 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[44][C] | July 24–31, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[47] | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 4% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[67] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,180 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | 0% | 7% |
| Emerson College[49] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Landmark Communications[50] | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | |||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[53] | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 46% | 8% | 9% |
| 549 (LV) | 38% | 49% | 6% | 7% | |||
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[51][F] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Emerson College[68][H] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 47% | 12% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[52][h] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[53] | July 12–15, 2024 | 981 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[69][I] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[70][J] | July 1–8, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[71] | July 1–5, 2024 | 790 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Emerson College[72][H] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Emerson College[73] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[74] | May 30 – June 3, 2024 | 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Prime Group[75][K] | May 9–16, 2024 | 470 (RV) | – | 49% | 51% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[54] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[76] | May 6–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[77] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| 604 (LV) | 41% | 50% | 9% | |||
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[78][L] | May 1–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
| Emerson College[79] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 49%[d] | 51% | – | ||||
| John Zogby Strategies[80][m] | April 13–21, 2024 | 635 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Fox News[81] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[82] | April 8–15, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Wall Street Journal[83] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| Echelon Insights[84][M] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Marist College[85] | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,177 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 51% | 2% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[86] | March 8–12, 2024 | 788 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| CBS News/YouGov[87] | March 4–11, 2024 | 1,133 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
| Emerson College[88] | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| 48%[d] | 52% | – | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[89] | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Emerson College[55] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Fox News[90] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
| Focaldata[91] | January 17–23, 2024 | 887 (A) | – | 36% | 45% | 19%[n] |
| – (LV) | 39% | 47% | 14%[o] | |||
| – (LV) | 48%[d] | 52% | – | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[92] | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Atlanta Journal-Constitution[93] | January 3–11, 2024 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 45% | 18% |
| CNN/SSRS[94] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[95] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| J.L. Partners[96][N] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[97] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 48% | 11% |
| Emerson College[98] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 14% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[99][F] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| New York Times/Siena College[56] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| 629 (LV) | 44% | 49% | 7% | |||
| Zogby Analytics[100] | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[101] | October 5–10, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[102] | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[103] | September 8–11, 2023 | 1,061 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 47% | 15% |
| Prime Group[104][K] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 48% | 52% | – |
| 36% | 45% | 19%[p] | ||||
| Cygnal (R)[105][O] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[106][P] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[107][P] | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College[108] | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[109] | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 43% | 7% |
| Targoz Market Research[110] | November 2–6, 2022 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | 5% |
| Emerson College[111] | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[112] | October 23–24, 2022 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
| Emerson College[113] | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights[114][J] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Emerson College[115] | August 28–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[116][Q] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
| East Carolina University[117] | June 6–9, 2022 | 868 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[118] | March 2–8, 2022 | 662 (V) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 50% | 14% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[119][R] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | |||||||||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[120] | July 16–18, 2024 | 618 (LV) | – | 40% | 45% | 5% | – | 0% | 10%[q] |
| Emerson College[68][H] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[69][I] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,015 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| YouGov[121][G] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[122] | July 8–10, 2024 | 433 (LV) | – | 40% | 46% | 6% | – | 1% | 7%[q] |
| Echelon Insights[70][J] | July 1–8, 2024 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 5%[r] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[71] | July 1–5, 2024 | 790 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| Emerson College[73] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[123] | June 8–11, 2024 | 471 (LV) | – | 39% | 44% | 6% | – | 0% | 11%[q] |
| Quinnipiac University[74] | May 30 – June 3, 2024 | 1,203 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 7%[s] |
| Prime Group[75][K] | May 9–16, 2024 | 470 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 11% | 5% | 1% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[54] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[76] | May 6–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[77] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 604 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 31% | 39% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 20%[t] |
| 604 (LV) | 34% | 42% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 16%[u] | |||
| Emerson College[79] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 45% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
| Fox News[81] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,128 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 46% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[82] | April 8–15, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Wall Street Journal[83] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 38% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 16% |
| Emerson College[88] | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[86] | March 8–12, 2024 | 788 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[89] | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College[55] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Fox News[90] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 45% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[124] | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[125] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
| J.L. Partners[96][N] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 10%[v] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | |||||||
| P2 Insights[126][S] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 35% | 45% | 6% | 14% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[127][F] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 43% | 9% | 10%[r] |
| P2 Insights[128][S] | May 13−21, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 39% | 43% | 7% | 11% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[78][L] | May 1–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 33% | 41% | 13% | 13% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[129] | May 2–4, 2024 | 610 (LV) | – | 38% | 43% | 5% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[130] | March 14–17, 2024 | 760 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 6% | 9% |
| Marist College[85] | March 11–14, 2024 | 1,177 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 45% | 14% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[131] | December 28–30, 2023 | 953 (LV) | – | 34% | 42% | 8% | 16% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[132] | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 45% | 7% | 14% |
| New York Times/Siena College[133] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 29% | 36% | 24% | 1% |
| 629 (LV) | 31% | 38% | 23% | 8% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[102] | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 38% | 41% | 8% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||||
| CNN/SSRS[94] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 42% | 15% | 6% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[134] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 12% |
| Zogby Analytics[100] | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 44% | 15% | 5% | – |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[80][m] | April 13–21, 2024 | 635 (LV) | – | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[80][m] | April 13–21, 2024 | 635 (LV) | – | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[94] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[135][F] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| New York Times/Siena College[136] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
| 629 (LV) | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[132] | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[94] | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[135][F] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| New York Times/Siena College[136] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| 629 (LV) | 44% | 45% | 11% | |||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[106][P] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | – |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[107][P] | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| Emerson College[108] | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[109] | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights[114] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[132] | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 36% | 34% | 14% | 4% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Mike Pence Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[106][P] | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | – |
Joe Biden vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[105][O] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[55] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 51% | 17% |
See also
[edit]- United States presidential elections in Georgia
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ a b c d e f g With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ a b Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
- ^ Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ "Another candidate" with 10%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 8%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ a b c Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ a b Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 10%
Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- ^ a b Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by NetChoice
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ a b Poll conducted for The Daily Mail
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Hardworking Americans PAC
- ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for the Citizen Awareness Project
- ^ Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
References
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