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448 pages, Paperback
First published January 1, 1996
Neither libertarians trusting in infallible market processes nor Greens prophesying starvation and environmental collapse had imagined the real future. But it was also impossible to refute either point of view. For the first, hardships and disasters are mere challenges to a boundless human ingenuity; for the second, any gain in living standards is just a charge against a dread future reckoning. Humankind is either on its way to the stars or hurtling out of a high-rise window to the street and mumbling, "So far, so good."Global climate change, for example—already a well-documented issue at the time—becomes just one more building block for Tenner's argument:
I am not trying to resolve this debate.
—p.x
Slow climate change can increase the likelihood of devastating floods, and possibly of tropical storms as well. Chronic conditions may have acute episodes. Acute shocks may have chronic consequences.This leads to some pretty perceptive predictions, such as this (long before Hurricane Katrina):
—p.26
A big storm could have twenty feet of water in downtown New Orleans and flood evacuation routes.
—p.119
On the road, finesse means a calmer approach to driving, improving the speed and economy of all drivers by slowing them at times when impulse would prompt accelerating. It can mean moving more traffic by metering access to some roads and even closing off others.Eventually, Tenner establishes a whole taxonomy of consequences, whether intentional or—much more often—not.
—p.353
"Better a vaccine without an epidemic than an epidemic without a vaccine," as one vaccination advocate put it later.Tenner's discussion of medical matters and the unintended consequences of public health policy is extensive and, if anything, even more pertinent now. He (along with many others, of course) foresaw how easily a global pandemic could spread, although his then-current example was the quickly-contained swine flu outbreak of 1976.
—p.51
They brought Bermuda grass with them and showered it with the water that federal projects were diverting from Western rivers for their benefit, in the best traditions of self-reliant American individualism.That's some dry sarcasm...
—p.134
Filling the gap is peer support, the person down the hall who becomes a resource without any amendments to the job description.This is precisely how I got into my own career.
—p.253
{...}the bridge abutments of Robert Moses' Long Island parkways, which may have been designed in part to exclude buses and thus limit mass transit and low-income development on Long Island."May have..."—I am pretty sure it was already widely known, even then, that Moses did design those low overpasses specifically to keep buses full of Black people off of Long Island. After all, Robert Caro's biography of Moses, The Power Broker, was published in 1974.
—p.273
In fact, few professional sports still use instant video replays to help make or verify official decisions. The NFL dropped it in 1992. Officials resented its challenge to their authority and decisiveness; fans and broadcasters resented the time it added to games. The video record may well turn out to be as controversial as whatever memories the officials and spectators may have of the original call—as the Rodney King and Reginald Denny cases showed in very different contexts in the courtroom.
—p.301
If we learn from revenge effects we will not be led to renounce technology, but we will instead refine it, watching for unforeseen problems, managing what we know are limited strengths, applying no less but also no more than is really needed.
—p.147
I have largely left housework out of this book because Ruth Schwartz Cowan treats it so well in More Work for Mother: The Ironies of Household Technology from the Open Hearth to the Microwave (New York: Basic Books, 1983).There's also about 50 pages of Notes and an Index to round out the book.
—p.357
Reducing revenge effects demands substituting brains for stuff.That still sounds like a really good idea to me...
—p.351